Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.745817 0.865377 0.995036 1.145725 1.315652 1.500947 1.717884
2024-12-22 0.561619 0.724643 0.917480 1.160731 1.457547 1.806012 2.243955
2024-12-29 0.464533 0.654906 0.896769 1.222608 1.645568 2.171062 2.867645
2025-01-05 0.373030 0.569853 0.836405 1.216815 1.737570 2.416249 3.356624
2025-01-12 0.303097 0.498440 0.778773 1.199943 1.803981 2.624351 3.804725
2025-01-19 0.251583 0.442987 0.732655 1.188493 1.869868 2.829345 4.255716
2025-01-26 0.219104 0.410356 0.713869 1.211393 1.982307 3.102113 4.813730
2025-02-02 0.190943 0.379456 0.692441 1.225532 2.079570 3.355991 5.356940
2025-02-09 0.166354 0.350201 0.669004 1.232148 2.163064 3.591805 5.884436
2025-02-16 0.149584 0.332071 0.661331 1.262385 2.284182 3.889684 6.519361
2025-02-23 0.132495 0.310306 0.644111 1.273583 2.373414 4.141389 7.095034
2025-03-02 0.110636 0.275068 0.597600 1.227795 2.362029 4.230474 7.418480
2025-03-09 0.101049 0.264270 0.596422 1.264812 2.497453 4.568916 8.164189
2025-03-16 0.091439 0.251780 0.590410 1.292190 2.618020 4.890237 8.900370
2025-03-23 0.087085 0.250580 0.606910 1.363849 2.822928 5.364457 9.912016
2025-03-30 0.076466 0.232369 0.585555 1.358740 2.885788 5.598098 10.531653
2025-04-06 0.066292 0.213156 0.559314 1.340596 2.921777 5.785445 11.079982
2025-04-13 0.057926 0.196860 0.537174 1.328132 2.966582 5.989150 11.663963
2025-04-20 0.052970 0.188902 0.533098 1.353371 3.086391 6.333433 12.508699
2025-04-27 0.047984 0.179805 0.525061 1.368939 3.187427 6.647734 13.313239
2025-05-04 0.043117 0.169990 0.513905 1.376220 3.271588 6.934176 14.079292
2025-05-11 0.040002 0.164985 0.514187 1.409472 3.411386 7.331629 15.063122
2025-05-18 0.036262 0.157092 0.505905 1.421784 3.507515 7.649806 15.913635